In the run-up to the US presidential elections in 2024, questions about the economic future of the USA are dominating the capital markets. With Donald Trump as the new candidate, a political decision is imminent that is also likely to have far-reaching effects on the capital markets.

In the meantime, the overvaluation of US equities is on a par with the dotcom bubble in 2000, unlike the rest of the world market. So is a new bubble emerging here? And what forecasts can be made for the future?

The US, China and the eurozone have recorded nominal economic growth of over 10% since the end of 2021. So is there no cause for concern or are some things being overlooked?

German investors are pessimistic - but is their displeasure justified? What do the forecasts for currencies, shares, real estate and the risk of recession really look like?

The stock markets of the major industrialized countries are currently close to their record prices and investors are hoping for interest rate cuts and the absence of a recession. But how likely is this scenario? And how will shares react to changes in interest rates or a worsening economy?

Unlike other commodities, gold is currently experiencing a boom - a development that, on closer inspection, is favored by many factors. You can read about them here.

Falling interest rates are supposed to make real asset investments more attractive. However, the connection is far from clear and simple. What a turnaround in interest rates would mean for real estate, gold and shares.

Share prices in the USA, France and even Germany are reaching new highs as investors believe in interest rate cuts. There no longer seems to be a risk of recession - or is there?

The US economy is currently in a much better position than the European economy. However, this success has come at a high price and is not sustainable. The stock markets in Europe are likely to perform better in the coming years.